| No. |
Colours
|
Form |
Grand
National Horses |
Odds
|
Bet |
Age |
Weights |
Trainers |
Jockeys |
| 1 |
|
4222-59 |
Hedgehunter
(IRE) 13 |
12/1 |
|
11 |
11-12
|
W P Mullins |
R Walsh |
Course
specialist but knee problem has restricted him to just two outings
this season - the latest when never figuring in a recent two-mile
handicap hurdle. His trainer said he was that he was "delighted"
with that spin, but the horse returned with a slight nasal discharge
and Ruby Walsh reported that he hung throughout. He's clearly
had a far from ideal prep and his wellbeing remains clouded but,
on the plus side, he will be hard to keep off the premises if
anywhere near his best. Humped 11st 12lb to second on soft ground
last year (only 2lb higher in ratings here and officially 8lb
well in) just 3 weeks after his fine second in the Gold Cup. Was
a runaway winner in 2005 and also made a valiant bid in 2004 (fell
last after setting overly strong pace). Seems effective on any
going. |
| 2 |
|
P/411P-1 |
Eurotrek
(IRE) 146 |
18/1 |
|
11 |
11-8
|
P F Nicholls |
L Heard |
| The 11-year-old
does not stand much racing and has had just 11 runs in his career
(including 2 in bumpers). His wheels may be wobbly but he clearly
has an engine, as he again showed when powering home in the Becher
Chase on his reappearance in November. Put by for this after that
success and fitness will not be an issue. Stoutly bred and 7lb rise
for Becher win looks fair enough, although he will effectively be
12lb higher because Liam Heard, who took 5lb off his back in the
Becher, will be unable to claim on this occasion. Lack of experience
(only 7 runs in total over fences) is also a slight niggle despite
his previous win here. |
| 3 |
|
3-53427 |
L'ami
(FR) 29 |
16/1 |
|
8 |
11-8 p1
|
F Doumen |
A P McCoy |
| just below
the top rank of staying chasers for the past couple of seasons but
admirably consistent support player at the highest level and likely
mount of Tony McCoy. Jumps well, stays well and his past three runs
in handicaps make for solid reading. On the first occasion he gave
weight and a beating to Little Brick at Auteuil; on the second he
beat all bar Trabolgan in the Hennessy; and on the third he finished
second in last season's Racing Post Chase off a mark off 155, when
My Will (received 8lb) and Ladalko (received 19lb) filled the next
two places. He runs off 154 here and should be fresh after a light
campaign. |
| 4 |
|
643-344 |
Monkerhostin
(FR) 29 |
25/1 |
|
10 |
11-6
|
P J Hobbs |
R Johnson |
| Been a grand
servant over hurdles and fences. Definitely among the classier entries
because he beat Kauto Star over an extended two miles the season
before last and made Kicking King pull out all the stops in the
King George a couple of months later before going off the boil.
Back to form when keeping-on fourth in the Gold Cup last time and
officially 8lb well in after that effort. Should be fresh after
a light campaign, but he's never hinted that he wants such an extreme
trip and his jumping (he's never been the the type to gain ground
over his fences) is unlikely to help, either. Richard Johnson has
chosen him ahead of Billyvoddan and Zabenz. |
| 5 |
|
3F-2527 |
Thisthatandtother
(IRE) 30 |
80/1 |
|
11 |
11-5
|
P F Nicholls |
S Thomas |
| Classy customer
who got the better of Fondmort in a thrilling Ryanair Chase two
years ago. Injured since, though, and showed he's not same force
when beating only one home in latest renewal. Trainer believes he
now needs a longer trip, but difficult to believe he will last this
far. |
| 6 |
|
19U-513 |
Billyvoddan
(IRE) 30 |
16/1 |
|
8 |
11-4 b
|
H D Daly |
L Aspell |
| Second-season
chaser has been revived by blinkers past 2 starts - being clearcut
winner of Silver Cup at Ascot before fine third in Ryanair Chase
despite being hampered. He's 5lb well in after his Festival effort
and is a safe jumper, but stamina looks big stumbling block because
he's unproven beyond 3 miles and there's nothing in his pedigree/form
to suggest it will suit. His sire's top five offspring have been
Flagship Uberalles, Accordion Etoile, Dato Star, His Song and Feathard
Lady - all 5 being at their best over 2 miles. His dam has not produced
any other winners. |
| 7 |
|
431-494 |
Numbersixvalverde
(IRE) 49 |
14/1 |
|
11 |
11-3
|
M Brassil |
N P Madden |
| Game winner
of the Irish National in 2005 and stepped up on that to put course
specialists Hedgehunter and Clan Royal in their place in this last
year. Was undoubtedly helped by the soft ground 12 months ago (has
raced almost exclusively on testing ground) and, given that he is
11lb higher for this renewal, could well be vulnerable as the going
seems unlikely to be similar. Has merely been kept ticking over
before his defence and, predictably, was putting in his best work
at the finish when fourth in the Bobbyjo Chase at Fairyhouse last
time. Finished behind Jack High and Point Barrow that day and now
meets that pair on worse terms. |
| 8 |
|
24-26UU |
Idle
Talk (IRE) 29 |
16/1 |
|
8 |
11-2
|
D McCain Jnr |
J M Maguire |
| Progressed
well as a novice last season, beating all bar Star De Mohaison in
the SunAlliance before finishing a respectable fourth in the Scotish
Grand National. Began the new campaign with an excellent effort
behind My Will in the Servo Chase at Cheltenham and was probably
not over that when cutting little ice in the Hennessy a fortnight
later. Unseated before halfway in the Letheby And Christopher Chase
back at Prestbury Park in January and then did same in Gold Cup
on first start for Donald McCain, although he was unlucky there
(bumped by another rival). Hardly an ideal prep but his jumping
is not a great concern, stamina is his forte and looks on a reasonable
mark. Usually a front-runner. |
| 9 |
|
0-65736 |
Royal
Auclair (FR) 32 |
40/1 |
|
10 |
11-1 t
|
P F Nicholls |
J Tizzard |
| Was at the
top of his game when a distant runner-up to Hedgehunter two years
ago but problems since and a wind operation doesn't seem to have
been a great help. Again cut out tamely in the Cross Country Chase
at Cheltenham last month and a completion looks best he can hope
for. |
| 10 |
|
8FP18F |
Cloudy
Bays (IRE) 30 |
100/1 |
|
10 |
11-0
p |
C Byrnes |
A J Mcnamara |
| Usually a
zestful front-runner but he has no secrets (6 wins from 30 starts
over fences), looks very averagely treated and is unproven much
beyond 3 miles. Has had a miserable time when competing in Britain
in the past, including last time when taking a heavy tumble over
hurdles at Cheltenham. |
| 11 |
|
F22380 |
Knowhere
(IRE) 31 |
150/1 |
|
9 |
10-13
|
N A Twiston-Davies
|
T Doyle |
| Novice has
been highly tried this season. Held his own in the first half of
the campaign (excellent effort to split Exotic Dancer and Taranis
at Cheltenham in December) but has lost his way since Christmas
and looks badly in need of a confidence-booster. His jumping is
sketchy and yet to prove he stays 3 miles, let alone this kind of
distance. |
| 12 |
|
8392P2 |
Kelami
(FR) 41 |
28/1 |
|
9 |
10-12
|
F Doumen |
M A Fitzgerald |
| owned by
the race sponsor and they will be hoping he fares better than three
years ago, when he got no further than the first. His jumping is
not a concern and his form in the second half of the 2004-05 season
reads well with bold efforts in the Red Square Vodka Gold Cup and
Whitbread Gold Cup being sandwiched in between a win in the Billy
Hill Chase at the Cheltenham Festival. Relatively lightly raced
since but showed that he retains plenty of ability when second in
the Agfa Chase in January and ran well, over an inadequate trip,
back in his native France last time. Fair prospects of staying and
running well for a long way. |
| 13 |
|
04B133 |
Point
Barrow (IRE) 21 |
11/1 |
|
9 |
10-12
|
P Hughes |
P A Carberry |
| Bids to emulate
Bobbyjo and Numbersixvalverde, who took this a year after landing
the Irish National. However, unlike that pair, connections have
not attempted to protect his mark and a narrow win in the Pierse
Chase in January means his rating has ballooned to 144 - some 19lb
higher than at Fairyhouse. He may be improving enough to defy that
rating and shouldn't fail through either stamina or jumping, but
his trainer's first reaction when the weights were released was
that he had been allotted too much (he initially said the horse
was an unlikely runner) and his snap assessment may be proved right.
Another negative is that he is often held up in rear, a tactic which
can invite trouble at Aintree. |
| 14 |
|
24420-P |
Celtic
Son (FR) 49 |
100/1 |
|
8 |
10-11
t |
D Pipe |
T J Murphy |
| Progressive
staying hurdler who looked destined for great things when making
an impressive chasing debut last season. Seemed to fall out of love
with the game soon after, though, and no encouragement could be
gleaned from his belated return in the Racing Post Chase at Kempton
in February. |
| 15 |
|
1-52611 |
Simon
49 |
16/1 |
|
8 |
10-11
|
J L Spearing |
A Thornton |
| Officially
the pick of the weights (9lb well in ) as he's won the Racing Post
Chase since the weights were published in February. His ability
to cope with bad ground/stay 3 miles served him well that day but
it was a weak renewal - a remark that is also applicable to his
previous win at Southwell. Before those successes, he had finished
sixth in the Welsh National (off a mark 11lb lower than he will
race off here) and been outstayed in an ordinary contest over 29
furlongs at Sandown. His overall profile suggests he's a false price,
then, and his sire's stamina index (7.6f) also rings alarms bells. |
| 16 |
|
20P5P0 |
Ballycassidy
(IRE) 32 |
50/1 |
|
11 |
10-9
|
P Bowen |
Denis O'regan |
| not the easiest
to predict (can sulk) but was about 6l clear and still going well
(at 80-1) when taking a crashing fall six out last year (had led
from ninth). Difficult to know where he would have finished and
the handicapper is obviously curious, as he's allowing him to run
off same mark. His five efforts since the autumn suggest that a
repeat showing is unlikely, though, and it should also be recalled
that he unseated at the 2nd 2 years ago. He's also fallen over the
Mildmay fences here so you could not call it his lucky track. |
| 17 |
|
313-6FP |
Clan
Royal (FR) 119 |
33/1 |
|
12 |
10-9
|
Jonjo O'Neill |
Mr J T McNamara |
| connections
have been keen to play down the 12-year-old's chances and McCoy
is unlikely to be on him, but he has more going for him than plenty
of shorter-priced rivals. His age isn't much of an issue because,
despite being a sound horse, he's not been abused and had only 29
races. That's five fewer than L'Ami, who is four years his junior.
Amberleigh House won at the age of 12 only three years ago, when
having his 61st race. Clan Royal fell at the first in the Becher
Chase in November but his overall record over these fences is outstanding.
He won the Topham in 2003, the Becher Chase in 2004 (beat Amberleigh
House) and has run mighty races in the past 3 Nationals. He would
probably have won in 2004 had his jockey not dropped his whip and
taken an erratic course on the run-in. In 2005 he was racing zestfully
in a clear lead when carried out by a loose horse at the second
Becher's (trading at 3-1 on Betfair at the time). Then, last season,
he stayed on gamely to be third despite the soft ground being far
from ideal and a blunder at the 19th. He's only 1lb higher here
and JT McNamara (of Spot Thedifference fame) has been out hunting
on him since his last run. Could be a winning partnership. |
| 18 |
|
125-137 |
Gallant
Approach (IRE) 32 |
40/1 |
|
8 |
10-9
|
C R Egerton |
J A McCarthy |
| lightly raced
(only 8 races) and not done too much wrong to date, although waved
white flag a little way out behind Joes Edge at Cheltenham latest.
It's possible he could improve for stiffer test (he's by Roselier)
although hardly looks to be crying out for a marathon. And see above
about stable. |
| 19 |
|
442250 |
Livingstonebramble
(IRE) 30 |
100/1 |
|
11 |
10-9
|
W P Mullins |
D N Russell |
| Good effort
when chasing home Homer Wells, his stablemate, in the Thyestes Chase
in January but hardly the most prolific (3 wins from 20 starts over
fences); unproven much beyond 3 miles and hardly looked a National
winner in waiting when well held at Cheltenham last time. Three
falls on his CV also a negative. |
| 20 |
|
7-0F251 |
Dun
Doire (IRE) 28 |
16/1 |
|
8 |
10-8
|
A J Martin |
P Carberry |
| There seems
to be two camps with this horse. In camp one are those who point
to the fact that he has won 9 of past 17 races, will improve for
the trip, is trained by Tony Martin and been laid out for race.
In camp two are those who see that he's risen 61 lb during his winning
spree and that the handicapper has got to grips with him (he's higher
in the weights than when failing to make an impact in last season's
Irish National); that he fell in he Becher Chase here in November;
that he made hard work of a straightforward task latest; that he's
unproven much beyond 3 miles and that his hold-up style invites
trouble. I'm in camp two. |
| 21 |
|
417-710 |
Kandjar
d'Allier (FR) 56 |
66/1 |
|
9 |
10-8
|
A King |
R Thornton |
| Showed his
ability/willingness remains intact when gaining a narrow win in
the Tommy Whittle Chase at Haydock in December but combination of
8lb higher mark/longer trip found him out in the Red Square Gold
Cup next time. His jumping has always been hit/miss and, even if
he takes to the fences, it will be a big surprise if he stays. |
| 22 |
|
33P3F5 |
Slim
Pickings (IRE) 30 |
33/1 |
|
8 |
10-8
|
T J Taaffe |
B J Geraghty |
| Fair novice
last term and got back on track when creditable sixth in Racing
Post Plate latest. That was only his second start for the Taafe
stable so there could be a bit more to come, but still prone to
errors (including latest) and unproven beyond three miles. |
| 23 |
|
49-2320 |
Zabenz
(NZ) 42 |
40/1 |
|
10 |
10-8
b |
P J Hobbs |
B Fenton |
| Fair novice
last term, has twice run creditably in three-mile handicaps at Ascot
this season and suited by good ground - but plenty of negatives.
Has gained only one win since summer of 2002; is on a stiffish mark
(relative to plenty of others) and has shown stamina limitations.
Didn't get home in last season's Feltham Chase and folded tamely
in Scottish National later in campaign. |
| 24 |
|
36P-429 |
Bewleys
Berry (IRE) 56 |
22/1 |
|
9 |
10-7
|
J Howard Johnson
|
P J Brennan |
| Very much
built for chasing and jockey Paddy Brennan has excellent record
over the National fences. Fair novice last season who took well
to the big fences here in November when chasing home Eurotrek in
the Becher Chase. His stamina is a worry, though, because he was
not going anywhere at the finish of the Becher and failed to see
his race out when well beaten in the Red Square Vodka Gold Cup at
Haydock last time. Against that, his stable is in better form than
it was at that time and good going does not seem an issue. |
| 25 |
|
P146/7-1 |
Longshanks
139 |
20/1 |
|
10 |
10-7
|
K C Bailey |
A Dobbin |
| Has twice
made the frame in the Topham - off marks of 120 and 133 respectively
- and a dual winner over the drop fences at Haydock. Booked his
ticket by landing an ordinary three-mile handicap at Newbury in
November off a rating of 130. Hardly looks well treated here off
a career-high mark of 139 but, against that, he will lack nothing
in freshness and is an athletic jumper who is clearly up to handling
the demands of this place. Difficult to know how far he will stay
but his sire, Broadsword, was responsible for Flashing Steel (won
the Irish National carrying 12st in 1995). Should be fun to watch
while his stamina lasts. |
| 26 |
|
5115UP |
Bothar
Na (IRE) 140 |
22/1 |
|
8 |
10-6
|
W P Mullins |
D J Casey |
| Not seen
since running poorly in the Hennessy at Newbury in November and
a mark of 138 looks on the stiff side given that he could finish
only fourth in the Fox Hunters' Chase at this meeting last year.
Has admittedly shown improved form since - he won the valuable Kerry
National at Listowel in September - but unproven much beyond three
and a quarter miles and not always convinced when it matters most.
The likely good ground will probably be a help. |
| 27 |
|
163-53U |
Graphic
Approach (IRE) 30 |
100/1 |
|
9 |
10-6
|
C R Egerton |
Paul Moloney |
| Won a decent
three-mile handicap at Sandown 14 months ago but has not really
built on that - failing to see his race out on more than one occasion.
Tried in blinkers at Cheltenham latest but that backfired as he
unseated just after halfway after a couple of early errors. Form
of stable has to be a worry, too, because trainer has saddled one
winner from 36 runners since turn of year (both Flat and jumps)
and that was in January. |
| 28 |
|
33-0F11 |
Homer
Wells (IRE) 49 |
28/1 |
|
9 |
10-6
|
W P Mullins |
D J Condon |
| Had Jack
High, Point Barrow and Numbersixvalverde behind him when winning
the Bobbyjo Chase at Fairyhouse and has not been unduly penalised
by the handicapper for that success. Slightly inexperienced, but
a horse on the upgrade and definitely not one to underestimate for
a trainer who won this race with Hedgehunter two years ago |
| 29 |
|
814-489 |
Liberthine
(FR) 31 |
33/1 |
|
8 |
10-6
|
N J Henderson |
Mr S Waley-Cohen
|
| Amateur jockey
Sam Waley-Cohen has already enjoyed two memorable days on her -
winning the Mildmay of Flete (off a mark of 128) at Cheltenham two
years ago and then, 12 months ago, steering her to success in the
Topham over a circuit of this track off 130. The mare will effectively
run off 145 here, though, because he will not be able to claim any
of his allowance. Moreover, she's far from certain to last home
(didn't appear to stay when a fading fourth in last season's Whitbread)
and she's put up lacklustre efforts on her past 2 starts. Connections
believe she might have been in season on both occasions and have
moved to eradicate lightning striking for a third time by recently
letting her 'get it on' with Hernando. |
| 30 |
|
F-38242 |
Silver
Birch (IRE) 32 |
40/1 |
|
10 |
10-6
t |
G Elliott |
R M Power |
| Won the Becher
Chase here in 2004 before landing the Welsh National a few weeks
later when trained by Paul Nicholls. However, he then went AWOL
for 13 months and has not got his head in front since returning.
Hampered when falling at the Chair last year but his creditable
efforts in cross-country races this campaign suggest his jumping
will at least be up to the task. Softish ground does seem important
to him, though, and it could be that the slowish tempo of cross-country
races suit him best nowadays. |
| 31 |
|
P21P6-8 |
Philson
Run (IRE) 56 |
80/1 |
|
11 |
10-5
|
Nick Williams |
D Jacob |
| A decent
long-distance chaser when on song - he has an Eider and Midlands
National win on his CV - and ran better than the bare form indicates
on his return in the Red Square Chase at Haydock in February. However,
his record points to softish ground being essential and a first-fence
fall in last season's Becher (his only experience of this track)
hardly increases confidence. Well held in past 2 runnings of the
Scottish National. |
| 32 |
|
0-5527P |
Puntal
(FR) 28 |
100/1 |
|
11 |
10-5
pt |
D Pipe |
T Scudamore |
| Ran well
for long way in 2004 and last year (ended up finishing sixth) but
he's a moody customer who definitely has stamina limitations. Will
drop anchor when it suits him. |
| 33 |
|
1R21PP |
The
Outlier (IRE) 28 |
150/1 |
|
9 |
10-5
|
Miss V Williams |
P C O'Neill |
| Bred to stay
all day and the form of his 12-length win over Turpin Green in the
Peter Marsh Chase at Haydock in January now has a sexy look. However,
that was his fourth gruelling race in a two-month period and it
seems to have bottomed him because he's since been pulled up in
two marathons that should have played to his strengths. Seems suited
by testing ground. |
| 34 |
|
08-0440 |
Tikram
30 |
14/1 |
|
10 |
10-5
|
A King |
W Hutchinson |
| Old rogue
is still capable of useful form when in the mood (habitually drops
himself out) but three miles has looked a maximum for him and that
is supported by his breeding. |
| 35 |
|
2-41761 |
Mckelvey
(IRE) 21 |
100/1 |
|
8 |
10-4
p |
P Bowen |
T J O'brien |
| Quirky and
needs strong handling (ran no sort of race in last season's Welsh
National) but a plausible outsider if having a going day. Showed
stamina is his strong suit when landing the four-mile Summer National
and was a staying-on sixth in the Becher Chase in November (his
round was not error-free). Was having first race since then when
successful in a handicap hurdle latest and that should put him spot
on for this. Versatile regards going. |
| 36 |
|
11530P |
Naunton
Brook 31 |
33/1 |
|
8 |
10-4
bt1 |
N A Twiston-Davies
|
N Fehily |
| Notched back-to-back
chase successes over fences in November and December and defied
a hike in the handicap to finish a fair third in the Classic Chase
at Warwick. The assessor has had his say again since then, and recent
efforts off his current mark suggest he does not have enough in
him to be truly competitive |
| 37 |
|
700472 |
Jack
High (IRE) 49 |
33/1 |
|
12 |
10-3
b |
T M Walsh |
R McGrath |
| was probably
at the peak of his powers two years ago when runner-up to Numbersixvalverde
in the Irish National before going one better in what was once called
the Whitbread Gold Cup. Also a leading fancy for this last year
but he's not the tallest and lost his rider at the Chair. Has lost
favour with punters since then but, seemingly helped by blinkers,
nothing wrong with bare form of his close fourth to Point Barrow
in the Pierse Chase in January or his second to Homer Wells in the
Bobbyjo Chase last time. Had Point Barrow and Numbersixvalverde
behind that day and now meets them on significantly better terms.
The big fences are again a worry, though, and so his resolution
because he flashed tail and didn't look the keenest last time. |
| 38 |
|
P0-5129 |
Sonevafushi
(FR) 29 |
200/1 |
|
9 |
10-3
|
Miss V Williams |
Mr T Greenall |
| Safe jumper
but has never enjoyed having to roll up his sleeves and well held
in Foxhunter Chase latest, having previously been outbattled at
Folkestone. Type to complete in his own time. |
| 39 |
|
076-781 |
Joes
Edge (IRE) 32 |
9/1 |
|
10 |
10-2
|
Ferdy Murphy |
G Lee |
| ended spell
in wilderness with a dramatic last-gasp success at Cheltenham last
month. That effort suggests he's back in the kind of form that enabled
him to pip Cornish Rebel in the Scottish Grand National two years
ago. Isn't exactly unpenalised for his Festival win because his
mark here is 4lb higher (will be another 5lb higher in future).
Usually an assured jumper, although made numerous errors when a
well-beaten seventh in this race last year. Those blunders could
be attributed to the fact that he was not in much form/the soft
ground. Either that or the big fences will find him out again. Good
going definitely suits him best. |
| 40 |
|
UU-0743 |
Le
Duc (FR) 32 |
66/1 |
|
8 |
10-2
|
P F Nicholls |
D Elsworth |
| often referred
to as Le Dog, which is hardly surprising given 4 wins from 39 starts
for one of his ability is a poor return. These fences do seem to
keep him interested, though, because the season before last he was
third in the Topham two years ago and second in the Becher Chase
a few months later. Didn't get the chance to prove his suspect stamina
in last year's race as he unseated early on. |